FantasyXPERT.com Announces Its Recent Findings Around "Waiver Wire Greed – 3 Little Known Skills to Mastering the Waiver Wire"

After analyzing more than 30 sources for waiver wire pickup advice this year, FantasyXPERT.com has found that the quality of advice from the best to the worst sources varies by 60%. And the least accurate source to date for waiver wire pick-up advice just happens to be a Tier 1 and one of the most popular sources out there. This Press Release outlines the Most Accurate YTD Waiver Wire Sources and when these sources put out their predictions.

Waltham, MA, November 10, 2009 --(PR.com)-- “Greed, for lack of a better word is good.” - Gordon Gekko

Come on, let's face it, all fantasy football players are greedy when it comes to the waiver wire. After all, who doesn’t want to monopolize a league’s waiver wire…picking up all the best players, dropping them too close to games for anyone else to pick them up, squatting on certain players hoping they are good trade bait down the road and most of all picking up that player that puts a fantasy football player’s team over the top. Ask any experienced fantasy football player and he/she will tell you that intelligently managing the waiver wire is one of the single most important aspects to winning in fantasy football.

With the upcoming release of the new movie Wall Street 2 – Money Never Sleeps, FantasyXPERT just couldn’t resist taking a look back at the 1987 classic and thinking about how the words of wisdom from one Gordon Gekko can help those looking for riches on the waiver wire. While Mr. Gekko certainly isn’t a character anyone would want his/her children growing up to emulate, he does provide some keen insight into how information, and more importantly Little Known information can help one succeed.

“The most valuable commodity I know of is information, wouldn’t you agree!” – Gordon Gekko

Dominating the waiver wire isn’t about luck (okay, sometimes one can just get plain get lucky), but the majority of the time it’s about having the Best Information as Quickly as possible. Here are the 3 keys to successfully managing the waiver wire:

1) Get the best possible information as quickly as possible
2) Be bold – think differently
3) Act fast

Who Provides the Best Information?
“I don’t throw darts at a board. I bet on sure things. Read Sun-tzu, The Art of War. Every battle is won before it is ever fought.” – Gordon Gekko

The waiver wire is a difficult place to operate. For every successful pickup, one may have given up a player that subsequently plays well and makes one second guess what the heck he/she is doing. Hitting a home run with all pickups is extremely difficult, but it is possible to stack the deck so odds are in one’s favor that he/she will get the next breakout player.

After analyzing more than 30 sources for waiver wire pickup advice this year, FantasyXPERT.com has found that the quality of advice from the best to the worst sources varies by 60%. And the least accurate source to date for waiver wire pick-up advice just happens to be a Tier 1 and one of the most popular sources.

The first “skill” to cultivate is actually not a skill at all…it’s having the best possible information from which to make decisions. Based on FantasyXPERT.com’s analysis, the Top 5 performing waiver wire sources for the first half of the 2009 season are:

1) Lesterslegends.com
2) FFtoday.com
3) FFToolbox.com
4) Foxsports.com
5) FFJungle.com

* To learn how FantasyXPERT.com analyzes the sources for accuracy, please see the details at the bottom of the Press Release.

Knowing who is providing the best waiver wire advice is a simple first step to improving waiver wire skills.

Be Bold, Think Differently

“It’s not always the most popular person who gets the job done.” – Gordon Gekko

As FantasyXPERT.com has mentioned in prior posts, research shows that 80% of fantasy players use 3 to 4 “most popular” sources for advice (Yahoo, ESPN, CBSsports and Rotoworld). If a fantasy football player is among the 80% then he/she is getting the same ideas at the same time as all other competitors. That’s not a recipe for fantasy football success.

To catch the next rising start one needs to get new ideas. Take a look at the top 5 list again…notice that only 1 is a source that most of us would consider a household name. Embrace new sources (and particularly those that have been proven to be more accurate) to complement current sources which will provide a perspective that many competitors don’t have.

Act Fast
“If you’re not on the inside you’re on the outside.” – Gordon Gekko

The single most important aspect of dominating the waiver wire is acting quickly being more skillful at identifying and picking up players from the wire.

To be on the “inside” as Gordon Gekko puts it, a fantasy football player first needs to know When sources release their waiver wire advice so he/she can get a jump on your competitors.

Here are the Top 3 Earliest average release times of the Most Accurate waiver wire sources:

Lesterslegends.com – Mondays at 6:25 AM ET
FFtoday.com – Tuesdays at 2:05 PM ET
Foxsports.com – Tuesdays at 7:30 PM ET

* FantasyXPERT tracks the date & time each source releases waiver wire advice on a weekly basis. When the source doesn’t provide the exact time FantasyXPERT estimates based on when we find the information available.

Please keep in mind that there are many sources that release their waiver wire advice prior to the 3 above, but those sources are not included in the Top
5 most accurate for the season to date.

To see the breakdown of when all sources tend to release their waiver wire advice, please check out FantasyXPERT.com's most recent blog post.

Key Takeaways to Help This Weekend
1) Know who the most accurate sources are for waiver wire advice by creating an account at www.FantasyXPERT.com. As with all of FantasyXPERT.com’s accuracy findings, waiver wire accuracy results are dynamically updated after all stats from the previous week’s games have been released.

2) Look for advice from multiple sources – don’t just stick with the same one all competitors do. FantasyXPERT provides XPERT Smart Rankings for Player Rankings, Start & Sit, and Waiver Wire. These rankings are a consensus of the Most Accurate sources that exist on the Web and the rankings are updated dynamically as source’s post their weekly advice.

3) Most importantly, know when advice is available in order to get first dibs on the players. FantasyXPERT tracks the date & time that sources release their Waiver Wire pick-up advice. As soon as a source’s projections are available, FantasyXPERT updates the “Weekly Snaphshot” page with the direct link to that source’s predictions.

To find out more information on the more than 30 waiver wire sources that FantasyXPERT tracks, a direct link to these sources’ predictions as soon as the information becomes available as well as their XPERT Smart Wire Pickups, then open a Free account at www.FantasyXPERT.com. For the extra edge and the ability to see up to date accuracy information for all advice categories, open a Premium account.

Good luck this week!

Methodology for Analyzing Waiver Wire Advice:

-FantasyXPERT.com first identifies each sources pre-game waiver wire predictions.

-Secondly, FantasyXPERT.com analyzes each sources picks vs. the actual performance of the players for that week and the subsequent 2 weeks.

-Important to note is FantasyXPERT.com only includes those players not widely held in leagues like ESPN and Yahoo (i.e. FantasyXPERT.com doesn’t include when a source says to pick up Ray Rice – which believe it or not actually happens).

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