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B&M Consulting (USA) Publishes Scenario Analysis of the Crisis in Guinea

B&M Consulting, Inc. the first political risk consultancy focused exclusively on Africa, announced Monday the publication of a special Weekly Africa Markets Report featuring scenario analysis of the crisis in Guinea.

Austin, TX, December 17, 2009 --( Background

On Wednesday, (Dec. 9, 2009), Alain Joyandet, France’s Secretary of State for Cooperation and Francophonie (who oversees French affairs with Francophone African countries), warned Guinea’s injured military junta leader Captain Moussa Dadis Camara is in “a condition that is apparently rather difficult.” Camara was the victim of an assassination attempt on Friday, December 4, 2009, during which he sustained a gunshot wound to the head. He is currently recuperating in a military hospital in Morocco. Camara and his National Council for Democracy and Development (CNDD) took power in a bloodless coup on December 23, 2008 (dubbed the “Christmas Coup”) only hours after the announced death of previous long-serving President Lasana Conte.

The Scenario Analysis

B&M forecasts two likely sets of scenarios regarding the leadership crisis in Guinea, contingent upon whether or not Camara survives the assassination attempt. Under the scenario that Camara does not survive, they forecast two possible outcomes: 1) the Military Takes Over; or 2) the International Community Intervenes. Under the scenario that Camara does survive, B&M forecasts two possible outcomes, depending on how long it takes for him to recover.

Read the Full Report

About the B&M Weekly Africa Markets Reports
Published free every Monday on B&M’s website, the report keeps readers abreast of notable developments at the intersection of politics and business in Africa. Featuring continuous and stand-alone analysis from week-to-week, each report contains: a brief description of a political, economic, social or security risk development; concise analysis of the implications of this event for companies operating in Africa (i.e. those listed in the Dow Jones Africa Titans 50 Index); short-term and long-term outlook statements; and a summary of trends to watch for the next week.

The B&M Weekly Africa Markets Reports are available at

About B&M Consulting, Inc.
B&M is the first political risk consultancy focused exclusively on Africa. B&M helps its clients navigate and manage the risks of doing business in Africa by closely monitoring and analyzing political, economic, security and social developments across the continent and forecasting the impact of these developments on a client’s bottom-line. B&M advises corporations (i.e. institutional investors), non-profits, multilateral organizations and governments.

Mr. Remi Bello, Founder & Head of Research
B&M Consulting, Inc.

Contact Information
B&M Consulting, Inc.
Remi Bello

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